Economy
Finance
Three banks now expect a Reserve Bank rate rise on 29 September
NAB, Deutsche Bank and UBS all tip a rise to 4.6 per cent at the Reserve Bank's next meeting, the dollar is back above 72 US cents, and the Treasurer will not say whether he thinks another rise is needed.
Finance
Australia's 10-year bond yield hits highest since 2011
Fixed-rate home loans, business credit lines and the federal government's own interest bill share one reference point: long-term borrowing costs. Australia's 10-year government bond yield has risen to about 5.19 per cent.
Business
Company profits rise 1.8 per cent, but mining did all the work
Mining profits rebounded 6.8 per cent and everyone else went backwards. Inventory prices added $3.7 billion to the headline. The GDP print has since landed at 0.4 per cent.
Business
Treasury warns slow AI uptake puts $116bn of growth at risk
Treasury analysis estimates AI could boost Australia's labour productivity growth by 4.3 per cent over the next decade, adding approximately $116 billion to GDP and $4,300 to per capita incomes.
Economy
Power bills fall, but the price cap is not the cheapest deal
The Default Market Offer is the number most electricity customers have never heard of, even though it directly sets the ceiling on what they pay. The DMO is a safety-net price rather than the cheapest plan available, and it acts as a reference price to help consumers compare market offers.
Economy
Fuel excise cut ends 2 August, adding 16c a litre at the bowser
The number every driver needs to know this week is 16. That is the cents per litre returning to the price of petrol and diesel at midnight on 2 August, when the Albanese government's second and final fuel excise relief measure expires without replacement.
China
China factory PMI drops to 49.2 in first contraction since March
Watch the new-orders line and you know where China's factories are heading before output figures arrive. In July 2026, that line dropped to 48.5, the weakest new-orders reading since 2023, and the headline manufacturing PMI followed it down to 49.2, the first sub-50 reading in five months.
UK
Bank of England holds rate at 3.75% amid Iran war uncertainty
The number that matters most from the Bank of England's latest meeting is not 3.75, it is three. Three members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted against holding Bank Rate, preferring an immediate rise.
Economy
Cheap petrol hid it: underlying inflation stuck at 3.6%
Cheaper petrol did nearly all the work in June's inflation figures. Strip it out and the measure the Reserve Bank actually sets rates by has not shifted in two months, and the fuel relief that flattered the number has already expired.